CAN YOU ONE TIME KICK IT???!??!?!?
Well, it happened. I had to drop from the 109s again. I'm going to play a mixture of 55s and 77s until I get my roll back up to 100*109. Yesterday was my worst day ever, as $1600 worth of horrible shit kept coming in against me. Over one stretch of 12, I lost every single coinflip (and only got ITM once, by the way). After that I just felt like my confidence was shaken and I was off my A-game.
After this recent drop I had a realization, though. Let's say, hypothetically, that at some point during my move up to the 109s, I drop 2k from my starting roll. For example, I start at 9k, go up 500 or so, then drop to under 7k. This result is completely within the expectations of variance. If I then get shook about my game and drop to the 55s/77s, it's going to take me almost twice as long to win back the 2k as it would at the 109s. In this case, the only way I could ever permanently move up would be if I started off on a heater and never looked back (sorta like what happened at the 55s, maybe?) So really, the lesson here is that if you have confidence in your game, and you want to move up, brace yourself for a downswing, because working through it is probably going to be better for your lifetime $/hr than pussing out and having to stack back up at a lower level.
Also, if you haven't done it already, get RVG's ROI Simulator. It will change the way you fret about variance. And if you want to know why the USA sucks at world ball, look no further. Agent fucking Zero is not good enough to play point but KIRK FUCKING HINRICH is?! Compare those highlight reels... Almost convices me Schushefski is a racist. He sure looks like one.
Also, if you're not watching this let me know and I will introduce you to the inside of an ambulance. I hear the hospital has a nice new one that you should really check out.
And this post wouldn't be complete without my sweet MTD graph. See that nub of blue on the end? THAT"S PROFFIT BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!11
After this recent drop I had a realization, though. Let's say, hypothetically, that at some point during my move up to the 109s, I drop 2k from my starting roll. For example, I start at 9k, go up 500 or so, then drop to under 7k. This result is completely within the expectations of variance. If I then get shook about my game and drop to the 55s/77s, it's going to take me almost twice as long to win back the 2k as it would at the 109s. In this case, the only way I could ever permanently move up would be if I started off on a heater and never looked back (sorta like what happened at the 55s, maybe?) So really, the lesson here is that if you have confidence in your game, and you want to move up, brace yourself for a downswing, because working through it is probably going to be better for your lifetime $/hr than pussing out and having to stack back up at a lower level.
Also, if you haven't done it already, get RVG's ROI Simulator. It will change the way you fret about variance. And if you want to know why the USA sucks at world ball, look no further. Agent fucking Zero is not good enough to play point but KIRK FUCKING HINRICH is?! Compare those highlight reels... Almost convices me Schushefski is a racist. He sure looks like one.
Also, if you're not watching this let me know and I will introduce you to the inside of an ambulance. I hear the hospital has a nice new one that you should really check out.
And this post wouldn't be complete without my sweet MTD graph. See that nub of blue on the end? THAT"S PROFFIT BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!11
posted by Posit at 8:52 PM
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